New York City, New York - Report says cities must take action now to shape a driverless future – Six policy solutions outlined to guide city leaders
A study by transportation, economics and urban planning experts has found that ridesharing and ridesourcing services using autonomous vehicles (AV) could shift millions of drivers away from personal cars in major U.S. cities.
“Driverless Future: A Policy Roadmap for City Leaders,” the study prepared by Arcadis, HR&A Advisors and Sam Schwartz Consulting, shows that the move to ridesharing and ridesourcing services that don’t have a driver could cause a shift of up to 60 percent (3.6 million cars) from traditional to autonomous vehicles in the New York metro area alone over the next 15-20 years.
The Los Angeles metro area could see a shift of up to 44 percent (2.2 million cars) and the Dallas-Ft. Worth metro area could see a shift of up to 31 percent (nearly 1 million cars).
These shifts of nearly 7 million drivers to autonomous vehicles across three diverse metro areas illustrate how cities across the U.S. could be greatly impacted and reveals the significant effect of driverless services contemplated by companies such as Uber and Lyft.
To help cities prepare for such profound changes in daily life, Arcadis, HR&A Advisors and Sam Schwartz Consulting are offering a policy road map for complex issues related to autonomous vehicles and their potential impact on equity, public transit, parking, land use, and real estate development.
The full report can be downloaded www.arcadis.com/driverlessfuture.
To prepare for this driverless future, the report identifies six priorities for city leaders:
“Left unregulated, the popularity and affordability of driverless cars may have the opposite effect for cities by increasing congestion, encouraging sprawl and exacerbating growing inequalities,” says Peter Glus, Arcadis North American Cities Director. “Additionally, public agencies may face lower transit ridership, resulting in lost revenues from transit tickets, parking fees and other once-reliable revenue sources.”
“Public policy must evolve along with driverless cars. Cities, suburbs and smaller communities alike need to embrace new land use and real estate policies – whether it is development in new neighborhoods or providing more flexible parking regulations,” explains Eric Rothman, HR&A President and transportation practice leader. “To support inclusive growth, we have an obligation to provide equal access to driverless services and to help transition drivers to newly created jobs.”
“When ride-hailing apps like Uber and Lyft burst onto the scene, they disrupted the decades-old mobility networks of taxis, and now, left unchecked, public transit – our greatest urban mobility asset – may be next,” says Joe Iacobucci, Shared Mobility Practice Leader and Director of Transit for Sam Schwartz Consulting. “The call to act is now even greater for city leaders to ensure ridesourcing companies create a dynamic, multimodal lifestyle that complements a fixed-route, public transit network.”
About Arcadis | Engineering
Arcadis is the leading global design & consultancy firm for natural and built assets. Applying our deep market sector insights and collective design, consultancy, engineering, project and management services, we work in partnership with our clients to deliver exceptional and sustainable outcomes throughout the lifecycle of their natural and built assets. We are 27,000 people active in over 70 countries that generate more than $3.5 billion in revenues. Visit Arcadis.com.
About HR&A Advisors | Economics & Public Policy
HR&A Advisors (HR&A) is an industry-leading public policy, real estate, and economic development consulting firm. For more than 40 years, we have provided strategic advisory and implementation services for some of the most complex public policy and development projects across North America and abroad. From Brooklyn to London, Cincinnati to Hong Kong, we have guided hundreds of clients in transforming real estate concepts, economic development goals, and transportation infrastructure, first into actionable plans then into job-producing, community-strengthening assets. Visit www.hraadvisors.com.
About Sam Schwartz | Transportation
Sam Schwartz Consulting, LLC (Sam Schwartz) is a leading transportation planning and engineering firm known for its ability to solve highly complex transportation challenges for government, private-sector, not-for-profit and community clients all over the world. Sam Schwartz accomplishes this through technical expertise, creative visioning and consensus building to identify solutions that work for our clients today, and in the future. Visit www.samschwartz.com.
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